El Nino, high energy costs may add 0.3 pps to global inflation in 2026, JPMorgan

A rapidly intensifying El Nino ‌weather pattern combined with higher energy prices could add 0.3 percentage points to global inflation next year, hitting emerging markets in Asia and Latin America particularly hard, JPMorgan said in a report on Jul 24. Yet, the bank noted that current conditions are more favorable than during previous major El Nino episodes, with global grain inventories adequate, rice stocks in Asia relatively healthy and food inflation currently relatively low.

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